Post-debate election analysis - KWWL - Eastern Iowa Breaking News, Weather, Closings

Post-debate election analysis

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(KWWL) -

Following the second presidential debate, political analysts are asking if both candidates divisive campaigns will be enough to sway voters. 

As Donald Trump's campaign reels over tapes of the presidential candidate's sexually aggressive comments about women in 2005, the Republican nominee now trails Hillary Clinton by double digits among likely voters, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

The poll, conducted on Saturday and Sunday but before the second presidential debate, shows Clinton with 46 percent support among likely voters in a four-way matchup, compared to 35 percent for Trump.

KWWL Political Analyst Chris Larimer questions whether or not the new poll numbers will stay true moving forward. 

"We generally find pretty small effects for debates," said Larimer. "Even as shocking as they can be, it's because everyone already filters those through their partisan lens. So they already have a pre-existing view of each person."

At the start, both candidates kept their distance, avoiding a handshake.

When it came down to the Access Hollywood tape from 2005, Trump remained defiant.

"This was locker room talk," said Trump. "I'm not proud of it." 

"He has said that the video doesn't represent who he is," replied Clinton. "But I think it's clear to anyone who heard it. That it represents exactly who it is."

Trump bounced back by threatening Clinton with prison time if elected.

"If I win, i'm going to instruct my Attorney General to get a special prosecutor to look into your situation," said Trump.

"It's just awfully good that someone with the temperment of Donald Trump is not in charge of the law in our country," replied Clinton. 

"Because you'd be in jail," said Trump.

Larimer says Trump's comments are geared towards a certain Republican base. 

"Talking about her as being corrupt, as worthy of incarceration," said Larimer. "That plays to a specific Republican base that is fed up with the Clinton family doing well. And the Clinton family doing well in American Politics. Certainly for Democrats, it's not going to go play well. It's going to fire up the Democratic base."

Trump not only fired off at Hillary but also looked at her husband Bill Clinton.

"Bill Clinton was abusive to women," said Trump. "Hillary Clinton attacked those same women. And attacked them viciously. Four of them here tonight."

The Trump campaign brought women who had made sexual accussations against Bill Clinton to sit front row. 

"The campaign itself is very divisive, it's very negative,' said Larimer. "The theatrics of yesterday, the entire atmosphere surrounding the election going forward are going to be very negative."

As far as voters, Larimer says debates don't tend to dramatically sway voters. 

"For most people on the whole they're going to fall back into their own partisan loyalties," said Larimer. "So Republicans are going to vote Republican, Democrats are going to be the same way. There's a very small portion of the electorate probably 5% that are truly undecided. I think that's what pollsters are trying to figure out. What effect do those comments have on their final vote decision."

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